The legal environment for labor unions in Missouri, and across the nation, will change as a result of the 2016 state and national elections. In Missouri, the election of Eric Greitens as Governor and the supermajority of Republicans in the Missouri Senate signal the likely addition of Missouri to the list of states to have passed Right to Work laws. Missouri House Speaker Todd Richardson recently said that passing a Right to Work law “would probably be the No. 1 issue” for the start of the legislative session in January. If enacted, Missouri would become the 27th state to pass Right to Work legislation.

Right to Work laws prohibit the use of “union security” clauses as part of any collective bargaining agreement, meaning union membership cannot be a condition of employment. More significantly if membership is not mandatory, union dues will not be mandatory. For most unions, who receive the majority of their money from dues, this has the capacity to reduce or even eliminate their ability to organize, let alone administrate union contracts.

A Right to Work law in Missouri also has the potential of increasing the amount of leverage employers bring to the bargaining table. If employees begin to resign their union membership at a significant rate, an employer will have an increased ability to negotiate for its own priorities as the fear of a strike will be lessened. Furthermore, each union may have to evaluate at what point continued representation is cost effective if employees choose to leave the union and stop paying dues at a high rate.

Trump’s election to the White House will have a significant effect on national labor policy as well. Trump will nominate two people to fill the vacancies in the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB), thus influencing its direction for years to come. Employers who have transitioned to new rulings on franchises, joint employers, handbook policies and numerous other issues will likely see many of these rulings abandoned or sent to the bottom of the list when it comes to any enforcement agenda. Further, when it comes to the Department of Labor, the new overtime guidelines will likely receive close scrutiny by the new administration and it is likely the proposed changes in the Persuader Rule will be abandoned.

Finally, the executive orders that President Obama has issued over the past 8 years could be rescinded immediately, if a newly inaugurated President Trump decides to take such action. The Fair Pay and Safe Workplaces Executive Order and the Order Prohibiting Discrimination Based on Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity for federal contractors and subcontractors are just two of the likely targets of a Trump administration’s shift in labor and employment policies.

As the newly elected politicians take power, and newly appointment positions are filled, watch the Husch Blackwell Labor Relations Law Insider for updates.